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Webinars

PMS Service Providers In India | Financial Advisor
Buoyant Capital Webinars

Quarterly updates, strategic insights,
and performance reviews.

Latest Release
17 April 2026
India's Dependencies & The Cost of the Conflict

Topics: Move to aggressive stance, fiscal / BoP / corporate-profit impact of the conflict, and flow-driven drawdown as an opportunity to rebuild risk.

Stance Shift: Moved to aggressive in April 2026 — only the 4th transition in 10 years. Correction is flow-driven, not earnings-led.
Cost of Conflict: Manageable — ~15 bps fiscal slippage, ~3% hit to corporate profits, USD 22 Bn BoP swing against USD 500 Bn+ usable reserves.
Dependencies: Oil is a price problem; gas is availability — 100% of gas imports are LNG, with 23 BCM transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Archive
22 January 2026
Strategic Outlook: Cycle-Aware Framework

Topics: Macro pivot assessment, Capex to Consumption shift, and Buoyant's 10th-year operational milestone.

Macro Pivot: Transition from Capex-led to Consumption-driven economy causing cyclical earnings softening.
Sector Focus: Opportunities in discretionary consumption, travel, aviation, building materials, and select financials.
Positioning: Small & mid-cap exposure maintained at the lower end of historical ranges to limit drawdowns.
PASSCODE
Archive
05 September 2025
Tariff Tantrums & Global Trade Dynamics

Topics: Analysis of US tariff policies, the "Triffin dilemma", and the impact of India's fiscal pivot on export sectors.

Global Trade: "Jawboning" vs. ideological shifts. Potential collateral damage to textiles and jewelry exports.
Policy Pivot: Fiscal deficit cut to 4.4%. ~4-5 lakh crore shifted from Capex to household transfers.
Wealth Creation: Retail ownership value surged from 16 lakh crore (2020) to 70 lakh crore (2025).
PASSCODE
Archive
24 April 2025
Tariff Tantrums, Policy Shift & Market Equilibrium

Topics: Analysis of Trump tariff dynamics, the Triffin dilemma, central & state capex slowdown, and post-correction market positioning.

Tariff Posture: US likely posturing vs a deeper reset. The 2-year vs 20-year timing asymmetry favors resolution by midterms.
Capex Slowdown: Fiscal deficit cut to 4.4%, state capex trending negative. PSU, defence and railway stocks face headwinds.
Equilibrium Reached: Small-cap 3-yr CAGR gap (26% price vs 14% EPS) has closed. EPS and share prices now re-aligned.
PASSCODE
Archive
13 June 2024
Post-Election Reform Path & Small-Cap Wealth Cycle

Topics: Post-election political arithmetic, Fed rate-cut repricing, small & micro-cap euphoria, and evolving portfolio positioning.

Political Arithmetic: NDA at 293 seats keeps simple majority; big-ticket reforms deferred but fiscal discipline intact.
Wealth Concentration: ₹34 lakh crore retail wealth generated post-COVID vs just ₹14 lakh crore annual household savings.
Valuation Froth: 600+ stocks doubled in 15 months; 80% small caps. Micro-cap market cap up ~10x from COVID lows.
PASSCODE
Archive
18 March 2024
Fed Pivot Pause, Election Reset & Small-Cap Froth

Topics: Fed–Treasury rate repricing, 3-state election verdict & BJP continuity re-rating, small & micro-cap valuation excess, and portfolio shift toward large caps.

Rate Repricing: Street’s rate-cut bets reversed — from a full 200 bps cut expected by Dec 2024 (as of Jan) to higher than Nov 2023 levels across all timeframes.
Election Reset: 3-state BJP wins flipped continuity probability from ~75% to ~85%, while markets over-reacted from 0% to 100% — a partial mean reversion is now under way.
Small-Cap Froth: 365 companies doubled in ~10 months; small-caps delivered ~70% of returns via PE expansion, ~10% from earnings. Micro-cap market cap at ₹31 lakh crore.
PASSCODE
Archive
02 November 2023
Global Resets, India's Decoupling & Cycle Positioning

Topics: US Fed–Treasury dynamics, Israel–Hamas impact, India's 10-year decoupling thesis, and cycle-based portfolio rebalancing.

Higher for Longer: Fed unwilling to crush inflation; debt/GDP at 131% forces sustained higher rates and shorter cycles.
India Decoupling: Demographic dividend, PLI-led productivity gains, and rising domestic flows underpin 10-year resilience.
Rate Differential: Repo–Fed spread at 100 bps — lowest in 23 years; $274 bn short-term external maturities pose refinancing risk.
PASSCODE